Cadogan Petroleum (UK) Performance
| CAD Stock | 4.50 0.25 5.26% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.77, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Cadogan Petroleum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cadogan Petroleum is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Cadogan Petroleum plc has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to confirm Cadogan Petroleum's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if Cadogan Petroleum plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Cadogan Petroleum plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 14.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -248 K |
Cadogan |
Cadogan Petroleum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 525.00 in Cadogan Petroleum plc on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (75.00) from holding Cadogan Petroleum plc or give up 14.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cadogan Petroleum plc is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.7415% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Cadogan, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Cadogan Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Cadogan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.50 | 90 days | 4.50 | about 54.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cadogan Petroleum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.42 (This Cadogan Petroleum plc probability density function shows the probability of Cadogan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Cadogan Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cadogan Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadogan Petroleum plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cadogan Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cadogan Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cadogan Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cadogan Petroleum plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cadogan Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Cadogan Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cadogan Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cadogan Petroleum plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cadogan Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (565 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.5 M. | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Cadogan Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cadogan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cadogan Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadogan Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 244.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.4 M |
Cadogan Petroleum Fundamentals Growth
Cadogan Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cadogan Petroleum, and Cadogan Petroleum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cadogan Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0234 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.76) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.34) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (5.67 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 251.13 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.41 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.55 X | ||||
| Revenue | 9.15 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.5 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (4.61 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (565 K) | ||||
| Total Debt | 173 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.09 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 691 K | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.02) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 31.13 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 179.57 M | ||||
About Cadogan Petroleum Performance
By analyzing Cadogan Petroleum's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cadogan Petroleum's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cadogan Petroleum has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cadogan Petroleum has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Cadogan Petroleum is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange.Things to note about Cadogan Petroleum plc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cadogan Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cadogan Petroleum plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cadogan Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (565 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.5 M. | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing Cadogan Petroleum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cadogan Petroleum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Cadogan Petroleum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Cadogan Petroleum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cadogan Petroleum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cadogan Petroleum's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cadogan Petroleum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Cadogan Stock analysis
When running Cadogan Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Cadogan Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadogan Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Cadogan Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadogan Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadogan Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadogan Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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